Archive for September, 2009
Sports Bettingis a way that professional “smart money” gamblers make money. One of the most overlooked ways to make money from sports betting is by understanding the teams, and how they will play in different weather conditions.
Let’s look at an example of my analysis of a game where the teams were expected to play in a driving rainstorm:
Oakland at Seattle -7
This game presents a bit of a mystery since Seattle is playing without their #1 QB and without their #1 running back. This means that all the previous stats, etc., are pretty much meaningless in terms of handicapping this game. Generally speaking, I like to stay away from games like this because they are typically what I call “coin flip” games -that is there isn’t enough data to determine if the odds are in your favor or not.
However… this game may be an exception. Let me explain why.
First and foremost, Seattle’s defense took them to the Super Bowl last year, but they’ve stunk out the joint this year. In Seattle’s last 5 games, they’ve given up 35, 31, 28, 37, and 42 points. This may be the most stunning surprise of this season. And who did they give up this many points to? High-powered teams like Indianapolis? Nope. They gave up these points to KC, Minnesota, St. Louis, Chicago, and the Giants. Sure, these teams are decent, but keep in mind Minnesota could barely score against SF, and the other teams have been inconsistent on offesne all season -except when they played Seattle. In their two early wins the defense looked good, but keep in mind those games were against Arizona and Detroit.
Oakland on the other hand has played horrible all season on offense. They managed just 98 total yards against Pittsburgh, a team that’s been abused defensively all season. Oakland is averaging only 123 yards per game passing, which is really astonishing considering they’ve been in many games where they needed to play catch-up and still couldn’t manage to rack up many yards, even against other team’s prevent defense. It’s even more astonishing considering that they have Randy Moss to throw to. Moss should at least get some double-coverage which you’d think would free up somebody, somewhere in the secondary.
It used to be that classic games pitted the immovable force vs. the unstoppable object. This game is the exact opposite. It’s the inept offense vs. the inept defense. Oakland is ranked dead last in the NFL in offense. Seattle is ranked 29th in defense. Who know’s what’s going to happen?
Well, we don’t know exactly what’s going to happen in the game, but what we do know about is the weather. It’s pouring in Seattle today, and they’re expecting 2 inches of rain. The wind is at 18 mph, gusting to 23 mph. The field is covered, but it’s going to be VERY sloppy tonight and very windy. The rain is expected to get heavier by tonight’s 5:30 pm PST start (8:30 EST).
Now there are two schools of thought on this. The first is that the sloppy conditions will lead to more turnovers, and make it easier to pass because the receivers know where they’re going, but the defenders have to react. Plus, the sloppy conditions are going to lead to possibly more turnovers, etc. But this cuts both ways. The turnovers could easily come when a team is knocking on the door about to score as they could when they’re backed up near their own goal line. The other school of thought is that the weather is going to make it next to impossible to move the ball and score. This is why the o/u line is sitting at 36.
The o/u line is also sitting at 36 because Seattle QB Senaca Wallace has one of the most pathetic QB ratings possible, a measly 59.0. I say “one of the most pathetic” QB ratings because Oakland’s QB Andrew Walter has an ever worse rating at 49.0. This may be lowest combined QB ratings of any game in the NFL.
So what’s this all mean? First, it means that Seattle has the edge because of Seneca Wallace. Wallace, unlike Walter, is like having an extra back in the backfield. Oakland’s defensive line is going to have problems with their footing, and when they do break into the backfield, Wallace is going to be quick to sprint forward out of the pocket and the Raider defenders are going to be helpless to react on the wet turf. Wallace stinks throwing the ball anyway so the wind isn’t going to affect him as much as it’s going to affect Walter, a more classic drop-back QB.
So the bottom line is this. I do NOT recommend even playing this game because there are too many unknowns. However, if you really feel like you must take a side on this game I look for Oakland to have trouble scoring, probably scoring in the single digits. I look for Seattle to be able to move the ball on the ground, especially with Wallace running the ball out of the pocket. With all this in mind, I look for Seattle to win 17-6.
What really happened in this game? Seneca Wallace, Seattle’s QB, had 49 yards rushing, including a key run of 37 yards. Seattle won 16-0.
David James
http://www.articlesbase.com/online-gambling-articles/sports-betting-secrets-making-money-from-the-weather-72056.html
CRIME SPREE is a comedic crime caper about a group of French burglars who bumble their way through one culture clash after another. Sent from Paris to Chicago to pull off a heist, the six inept criminals (including Gerard Depardieu and French pop stars Johnny Hallyday and Renaud) mistakenly enter the wrong house and rob the head of the Chicago Mafia (Harvey Keitel). Now the mob is out for revenge, and the Frenchmen must contend with the mafia, the FBI, and local gangs as they maneuver their way through the baffling American landscape.
Cast: G©rard Depardieu, Harvey Keitel, Johnny Hallyday
Duration : 0:2:52
The blessing ceremony of Welcome Beijing 2008 Olympics & Chicago City in Hosting the Olympics. Performers are from Shaolin Temple in Chicago. There are 2 from New York.
Duration : 0:1:32
short documentary on a non-profit organization. for more information visit: http://www.arttherapyconnection.org/
Duration : 0:5:38
The network marketing industry, also known as multi level marketing (MLM), has become one of the major controversies in the business world. Both advocates and detractors have used strong arguments defending their view.
The detractors have condemned MLM as a scam because the system falsely claims instant riches with less effort based on a “pyramid” marketing scheme that expands a business improperly by promoting too much hype and misleading facts.
They also note that 95% of the MLM business opportunities fail, with supporting evidence. There are huge profits involved only for the top performers and not for the vast majority of the distributors.
The proponents of multi level marketing insist that it is one of the best business models to create wealth without investing large capital and on a short term basis. On the other hand, they also note that it requires a lot of effort and it is not a “get rich quick scheme”, pointing out that this approach to marketing has been taught as a mainstream course in universities.
Although it is not common, if ever, to find this type of course officially given in Ivy League schools, a similar course at the University of Illinois at Chicago does exist (http://www.uic.edu/depts/oee/networkmarketing/index.html ).
The proponents of MLM support their arguments by claiming that there are many cases of people who succeeded in the MLM industry with a small amount of start-up capital and only by following a specific plan put forth by the original company. They also differentiate the MLM from “pyramid schemes” because the first contains a product or service with a legitimate company which supports it.
On the other hand “pyramid schemes” contain no products or services, or they include “pseudo products” in order to justify the existence of the “opportunity”
Another argument against MLM is the bogus claim of duplication. Nothing can be duplicated since every individual is unique and, under no circumstances, are we all capable of becoming top salesmen or developers of down-line, i.e. MLM marketers recruited as salesman, referred to as “independent business owners”. Actually, a charismatic salesman in the network in this scenario rises in the ranks of the pyramid by earning money from these new recruit’s hard work.
The MLM advocates that duplication is possible only when the marketing plan and the tools have been advanced by the mother company in order to be duplicable for the majority of the distributors. This implies that whenever the mother MLM company is in a position to provide such a tool, then ordinary people with little to none marketing background can copy the marketing techniques and tools and promote their MLM opportunity successfully.
Another downside of MLM is the exploitation of our relatives urging them to join our MLM opportunity which oftentimes stresses family relationships unnecessarily and is considered by many to be a dubious marketing tactic.
Some proponents may counter that there is no need to beg your relatives for sales; instead, what you need is qualified prospects who are interested in your offer. That can be accomplished by purchased targeted leads or specific advertising methods.
The list could go on. Maybe not even an exhaustive book would be enough to note all the arguments both sides deploy. Maybe the problem is the conundrum itself, in which we have to choose between demonizing or canonizing the MLM industry. Since nothing can be duplicated, everything boils down to how the individual marketer presents his material to his prospects. Therefore, one can conclude the MLM system is good for some and not for others, so there is no need to disparage it or support it in the first place as a third party observer.
In that way of thinking we will not find answers. Only detailed consideration of each and every MLM company would lead to more accurate conclusions and that means thorough examination of the products or services, the marketing and compensation plan, the marketing tools , and of course the company’s support and background.
Christos Varsamis
http://www.articlesbase.com/mlm-articles/mlm-is-it-a-scam-or-not-104276.html
Page brought to you by http://www.kriminaldefense.com
He has NOT been fired from the CPD. He is suspended until the police board reviews the case.
2/14/08 Abbate is charged with 15 felony counts of aggravated battery in a public place, communication with a witness, intimidation, conspiracy and official misconduct. He faces a maximum of 5 years in prison if convicted. As of 2/14 hes considering pleading guilty.
Latest:
To date this year – 27 million paid for police brutality in Chicago. They dont lose their jobs either.
http://www.suntimes.com/news/commentary/644610,CST-EDT-edit11a.article
Disgusting news. Chicago Police force screwdriver into rectum of arrested man. Evidence tech attempt to hide it.
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/chi-screwdriver_alloct17,0,6801143.story?coll=chi-elections-utl
http://www.shortnews.com/start.cfm?id=65930
Latest CPD Murder Plot Federal Agents arrest Chicago Special Ops Officer at home Jerome Finnegan
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/chi-finnigan_27sep27,1,3935728.story?track=rss
http://chicagoist.com/2007/09/26/bad_cop_bad_cop_1.php
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/chi-finnigan_web_oct02,1,4770600.story?track=rss
CHICAGO Police out of control mentions murder plot referenced above:
http://cbs2chicago.com/investigations/Chicago.Police.Department.2.336624.html
8/7/07 Two people killed in one week. One shot in the back by Chicago Police Department.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070808/ap_on_re_us/chicago_police_problems_1
Chicago police kill a child and cover it up.
http://www.chicagoreader.com/features/stories/copcar/
May 2007
Chicago Police use office to steal credit cards
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/chi-070504theftmay04,1,1316440.story?coll=chi-news-hed
Chicago Police officer steals credit cards:
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/chi-070504theftmay04,1,1316440.story?coll=chi-news-hed
CHIEF Detective hanafan – convicted of running jewel theft ring 2006
http://seclists.org/politech/2001/Nov/0025.html
Meidenaowski – convicted of running major drug operation from miami to chicago 2004
http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qn4155/is_20070208/ai_n17203765 (Most corrupt cop ever was never investigated yet they knew).
John burge – proven to have tortured defendants for over five years in area five headquarters. http://www.truthinjustice.org/chicops.htm http://www.chicagoreader.com/policetorture/050402/
Eleven police officers currently in federal court for forcing poor families to give them money or be charged with a crime, theft, robbery, burglary, home invasion. 2007 still pending
http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/2006-09-08-police-charges_x.htm
Officer steals items from small chinese convenience store. Owner jumps on car cop drags owner. 2004
Chicago police use badge to steal $31,000.00
http://64.233.167.104/search?q=cache:b-myYzx7WngJ:www.usdoj.gov/usao/iln/pr/chicago/2006/pr1025_01.pdf+chicago+police+charged&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=6&gl=us
Chicago police commit drug conspiracies
http://chicago.fbi.gov/pressrel/2005/jan-27.htm
Chicago police commit more burglaries
http://cbs2chicago.com/topstories/local_story_338071613.html
The officers rarely get fired because their union – the fraternal order of police – gets em reinstated.
Some officers have caused the city to pay over 3 million dollars to victims on account their violent behavior. Yet their still on the job b/c their union is so powerful.
The refusal to recognize the problem only perpetuates it. Police are starting to report each other so maybe, just maybe their is hope.
Lying about drugs:
http://mesh.medill.northwestern.edu/mnschicago/archives/2003/02/officer_charged.html
Murder plot
http://www.policeone.com/news_internal.asp?view=117101
http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qn4196/is_19980508/ai_n10420239
Framing people
http://abclocal.go.com/wls/story?section=News&id=165861
Burglary
http://abclocal.go.com/wls/story?section=News&id=994355
Chicago police are racist and dont respect police officers:
http://www.chicagoreporter.com/1999/09-99/0999mainside.htm
Chicago police use counterfeit money
http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qn4155/is_20060606/ai_n16453543
Chicago police kill blues player grady
http://www.chicagodefender.com/page/local.cfm?ArticleID=8796
Chicago police lock citizens up for no illegal reason.
http://www.law.northwestern.edu/macarthur/police/locked_up.html
Chicago police beat man IN A WHEELCHAIR AND HANDCUFFED
http://www.wqad.com/Global/story.asp?S=4381705&nav=1sW7
Chicago police use badge to commit AGGRAVATED SEXUAL ABUSE and lies about it.
http://www.officer.com/article/article.jsp?id=8667&siteSection=1
Chicago Officer arrested for domestic violence.
http://www.suntimes.com/news/metro/330532,CST-NWS-stripped06.article
Duration : 0:3:10
The blessing ceremony of Welcome Beijing 2008 Olympics & Chicago City in Hosting the Olympics.Monk performance following with small student. Very cute.
Duration : 0:2:21
David Schools, Jimmy Herring and Jojo Hermann join The Allman Brothers on stage in Chicago on September 2, 2009 for the Allman Brothers’ classic Southboung
Duration : 0:8:9
09/09/09
09/09/09